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Palisade @RISK 5 for Excel


The World's Most Powerful Risk Analysis Tool!

Manage the Future
@RISK performs risk analysis using Monte Carlo simulation to show you many possible outcomes in your Microsoft Excel spreadsheet—and tells you how likely they are to occur. This means you can judge which risks to take and which ones to avoid, allowing for the best decision making under uncertainty. With @RISK, you can answer questions like, “What is the probability of profit exceeding $10 million?” or “What are the chances of losing money on this venture?”

All-new @RISK 5.0

All-new @RISK 5.0 for Excel has been redesigned from the ground up to provide unprecedented model sharing, a revamped interface, and more robust analyses—including new Six Sigma and insurance functions.

View software image See the all-new interface

» What's New in @RISK 5.0
» New Six Sigma statistics functions, graphs, and reports

Including All-new RISKOptimizer 5.0

@RISK 5.0 Industrial includes new RISKOptimizer 5.0 which
features a streamlined interface, support for cell ranges, and much more.

» More about RISKOptimizer

@RISK Industries & Applications

@RISK is used to analyze risk and uncertainty in a wide variety of industries. From the financial to the scientific, anyone who faces uncertainty in their quantitative analyses can benefit from @RISK.

Excel Ease of Use

@RISK is a true add-in to Microsoft Excel, integrating completely with your spreadsheet. Browse, define, analyze—while never leaving Excel. All @RISK functions are true Excel functions, and behave exactly as native Excel functions do. @RISK windows are all linked directly to cells in your spreadsheet, so changes in one place are carried out in the other. @RISK graphs point to their cells via callout windows. Drag-and-drop ease, context-sensitive right-click menus, and the @RISK toolbar make learning and navigating @RISK a snap.

View software image See the Excel-based interface

Model, Simulate, Understand

Running an analysis with @RISK involves three simple steps:

1. Set Up Your Model. Start by replacing uncertain values in your spreadsheet with @RISK probability distribution functions, like Normal, Uniform, or over 35 others. These @RISK functions simply represent a range of different possible values that a cell could take instead of limiting it to just one case. Choose your distribution from a graphical gallery, or define distributions using historical data for a given input. Even combine distributions with @RISK’s Compound function. Share specific distribution functions with others using the @RISK Library, or swap out @RISK functions for colleagues who don’t have @RISK.

View software image See the @RISK distribution palette

Next, select your outputs—the "bottom line" cells whose values interest you. This could be potential profits, ROI, insurance claims payout, disease recovery rate, or anything at all.

2. Run the Simulation. Click the Simulate button and watch. @RISK recalculates your spreadsheet model thousands of times. Each time, @RISK samples random values from the @RISK functions you entered, places them in your model, and records the resulting outcome. Explain the process to other by running your simulation in Demo Mode, with graphs and reports updating live as the simulation runs.

View software image See simulation in progress

3. Understand Your Risks. The result of a simulation is a look at a whole range of possible outcomes, including the probabilities they will occur. Graph your results with histograms, Scatter Plots, cumulative curves, Box Plots, and more. Identify critical factors with Tornado charts and sensitivity analysis. Paste results into Excel, Word, or PowerPoint, or place them in the @RISK Library for other @RISK users. You can even save results and charts right inside your Excel workbook.

View software image See sampling of @RISK graphs


Three Editions to Meet Your Needs:

@RISK Industrial @RISK Pro @RISK Standard
Advanced Simulation Engine  X X X
38 Built-in Distribution Functions  X X X
Integrated Distribution Gallery  X X X
Compound and Six Sigma functions  X X X
Variety of Result Graphs and Charts  X X X
Live Updating During Simulation  X X X
Sensitivity & Scenario Analysis  X X X
Correlation of Inputs  X X X
Integrated Data Fitting  X X  
@RISK Library  X X  
Excel Developer Kit (XDK)  X X  
Stress Analysis X X  
Advanced Sensitivity Analysis  X X  
@RISK Goal Seek  X X  
Integrated @RISKAccelerator  X    
RISKOptimizer 5.0 X    

@RISK Professional
Designed for professional-grade problems in any industry, @RISK Professional is perfect for most commercial uses. It provides a balance of advanced analysis and point-and-click ease of use, and includes:

  • Integrated distribution fitting: Defines distribution functions for you based on historical or industry data.
  • @RISK Library: A SQL database for storing and sharing with others @RISK distribution functions, model components, and simulation results.
  • Excel Developer Kit (XDK): Automate and customize @RISK for Excel through a complete library of commands and functions that let you control every aspect of @RISK in your spreadsheet. Add @RISK for Excel to any custom application.
  • Stress Analysis: Lets you control the range that is sampled from a distribution function, enabling you to see how different scenarios affect your bottom line without changing your model.
  • Advanced Sensitivity Analysis: Lets you see how changes in any input—distributions or regular values—affect simulation results.
  • @RISK Goal Seek: Uses multiple simulations to find an input value that achieves a target simulation result you specify.

@RISK Industrial
Designed for your largest, most complex models, @RISK Industrial includes everything in @RISK Professional, plus the following:

  • RISKOptimizer 5.0: Combine Monte Carlo simulation with genetic algorithm-based optimization to find the best combination of factors to lead to a desired result under uncertain conditions.
    » More about RISKOptimizer
     
  • Integrated @RISKAccelerator: Speed up large simulations with parallel processing by using multi-core processors and up to four CPUs within a single machine.

100% Excel

@RISK simulations are calculated 100% within Excel, supported by Palisade sampling and statistics proven in over twenty years of use. Palisade does not attempt to rewrite Excel in an external recalculator to gain speed. A single recalculation from an unsupported or poorly reproduced macro or function can dramatically change your results. Where will it occur, and when? Palisade harnesses the power of multiple CPUs and multi-core processors to give you the fastest calculations. Correct results-and fast-using @RISK!

Compatibility
@RISK for Excel is compatible with Excel versions 2000 through 2007.

PALISADE @RISK 4.5 User Guide: download here

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